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Trader Overview
radish22 Polymarket trader just turned 699k deposits into 392k PnL on 21 trades with a 91% win rate—except the ROI math screams the real story: he's down 82% on capital despite crushing individual bets, which means he's holding bags on open positions that are bleeding the gains away.
This is radish22, rank 289 Polymarket whale. Plays low-risk, high-precision markets across 21 categories. Trades roughly 45 times per day—not a bot, but someone with serious discipline and market access most retail never touch.
The edge is surgical position sizing mixed with aggressive early exits on winners. His best trade hit 214k profit on the Brentford FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC, while his worst loss was a laughable 304 dollar drawdown. That asymmetry—huge wins, microscopic losses—isn't luck. It's a trader who knows exactly when to cut and when to ride. Average trade size sits at 5.8k, meaning he's betting with size on high-conviction setups only.
But here's the real Polymarket whale truth nobody talks about: 90% win rate on Polymarket means nothing if your portfolio is underwater. radish22 has 10 open positions still eating capital. His portfolio value sits at 124k against 699k total deposits. The 392k PnL looks insane in isolation—the best Polymarket traders do this—but when ROI hits negative 82%, it means every closed win is being offset by open positions that are currently in the red. This isn't a strategy failure; it's a timing problem. He picked right on closed trades but picked wrong on what's still running.
The risk level flags as low, yet the math doesn't lie: he's sitting on roughly 575k in losses across 10 open bets. Not everyone survives the drawdown, and radish22 is living proof that Polymarket win rate and Polymarket PnL can tell completely different stories. If those open positions close in the red, the entire narrative flips. Right now he's a prediction markets contrarian case—the trader who proved individual market timing works but portfolio timing doesn't.
whaleRisk: medium