AiBird
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AiBird is a Polymarket wallet profile with $78.3K PnL, $230.1M total volume, a 61.6% win rate, and activity across 7764 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as high and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
AiBird Polymarket trader (0xa58d4f278d7953cd38eeb929f7e242bfc7c0b9b8) runs 45 trades a day across 7,764 markets and still clears $78.3K profit — the definition of "volume over conviction" that makes traditional traders twitch.
Rank 1598 whale. AiBird is a high-frequency noise farmer hitting 61.6% win rate on 1,026 total trades. Not a deep specialist — this is systematic volatility capture across prediction markets, pure breadth play. The portfolio sits at $10.9K live with 576 open positions. This is not a person. This is a bot that decided Polymarket was a sandbox.
The edge: spray-and-pray with discipline. Average trade size $67.52 at an entry price of $0.34. The buy-sell ratio of 0.72 tells you AiBird skews short — meaning they're fading the crowd consensus, betting on noise reversals rather than trend follow. Open 576 concurrent positions. Close only 450. The math is brutal: you live or die on win rate when you're playing this wide. 61.58% holds the line barely above breakeven when fees start eating.
The best trade? $78.3K profit on Fed rate expectations Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?. The worst? Negative $437 on Iranian regime collapse — geopolitical tail risk that no amount of volume can smooth. That's the whale tax: single trades can swing $1.6K, but you're running so many that individual tilt doesn't kill the portfolio. Yet.
What separates AiBird from the 99% degens: raw infrastructure and zero emotional friction. 45 trades per day means you cannot be human. You're API-ing into every micro-inefficiency, capturing bid-ask bounce, fading overnight panic. No time for narrative. No ego. Just execution. The 61.6% win rate on 7,764 markets screamed suggests real edge — edge in data aggregation, edge in timing, maybe edge in knowing which markets are liquid enough to actually exit.
The risk: 0.03% ROI on the full capital run looks fine until you model the drawdown. High risk level flagged. 576 open positions means one systemic shock — a Polymarket collapse, a liquidity freeze, regulatory nuke — and AiBird bleeds across the entire portfolio simultaneously. Diversification is not a hedge when every position is correlated to the platform itself.
Right now AiBird is drowning in open positions. Check the wallet on Predicts.guru to watch whether this bot keeps compounding or finally hits the wall that catches every high-frequency Polymarket trader eventually.
whaleRisk: high