cartman
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cartman is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$351 PnL, $14.8K total volume, a 41.7% win rate, and activity across 34 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
One wallet. 24 trades. Negative 82% ROI on deposits. That is the cold math on cartman, a Polymarket trader who turned $449 into a $351 drawdown — proving that even with a diversified approach, the prediction market can chew up small depositors.
cartman is a rank 2.5M+ trader who plays a "diversified" game across 34 markets (mostly sports). His edge? Not much — he spreads small bets across binary outcomes, hoping to catch variance. But his 41.7% win rate and average trade of $203 show this is not a whale, but a retail degen treading water. His single biggest win: $34 on Panthers vs. Jets (2025-10-19). His worst: a $351.5 loss on Cavaliers vs. Rockets (2025-01-23).
What separates this trader from the top Polymarket traders? Nothing really — no niche mastery, no bot, no discipline edge. He buys 2.35 times more than he sells, averaging 0.1 trades per day, which screams "slow bleed with no clear thesis." Using any Polymarket wallet checker, you see a small-scale operator who deposited $449, withdrew only $77, and now sits near zero. It’s a cautionary tale for anyone looking up top Polymarket traders on the Polymarket leaderboard: not everyone who trades wins.
Currently, cartman has zero open positions — likely stopped out or gave up. The realism? This is not a trader to copy; it’s a case study in why most small prediction market analytics accounts lose. But if you want to track his (inactive) wallet or check other traders who actually turn deposits into gains, use Predicts.guru to check Polymarket wallet history and see who’s really printing.
diversifiedRisk: medium