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Phlox is a Polymarket wallet profile with $2.6K PnL, $69.1K total volume, a 83.7% win rate, and activity across 116 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
One wallet posted weather bets on Asian cities 84 times in a week — $2.6K PnL on $69K volume with an 83.7% win rate, almost zero flash.
Phlox (rank #37,336) — conservative Polymarket trader, niche weather prediction markets obsessive, low-risk repeat hitter.
Strategy: Floods high-probability temperature outcome markets with small but relentless bets. Edge is arbitrage against the crowd's noise: retail overreacts to daily forecasts, Phlox just buys the statistical mean at 85¢ and waits.
Proof: 59 total trades, 12.3 per day, 83.7% win rate. Average entry price: $0.85 — meaning she buys heavily favored outcomes and never chases longshots. Best trade: Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on May 20? for +$537. Worst: a 35°C Jakarta bet on May 12 for -$180 — only 2.1x the average loss vs. 3.8x average win. Buy-to-sell ratio of 10.2 confirms she's almost exclusively a buyer of cheaply priced high-probability events.
Edge: She doesn't trade narratives. No elections, no sports, no crypto drama. She found the lowest-disagreement market on Polymarket (city temperatures) and grinds it with mechanical discipline. The 84% win rate looks like free money until you realize how few people can stomach 12 identical <$150 trades daily.
Now: 9 open positions — all weather markets. Portfolio $7.2K, effectively 98% cash. Low risk, low drama, consistent yield. Not everyone survives the drawdown on a 35°C Jakarta miss, but she still posted +3.8% ROI on 59 trades.
Track this Phlox Polymarket trader and other top Polymarket traders' daily weather grinding with real-time Polymarket wallet analytics from Predicts.guru — or use their Polymarket wallet checker to scan any wallet for hidden edge patterns.
conservativeRisk: low