Loading wallet statistics...
kosonbtc is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$2.4K PnL, $310.2K total volume, a 16.3% win rate, and activity across 183 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
One wallet that turned $1,890 into a -$2,389 Polymarket PnL after 151 trades. Meet kosonbtc.
This kosonbtc Polymarket trader ranks #2,684,920 with a brutal 16% win rate and a 1.47% ROI on deposits — the math suggests surviving by tiny edges, not big wins. His total volume hit $310K across 183 markets, but the PnL tells a different story: -$2,389. He's a diversified low-risk grinder, averaging 4.5 trades per day.
Strategy: high-frequency, low-conviction noise collector. His edge hack? Small position sizing ($108 avg trade) on binary events with 83%+ average entry price — meaning he's often buying the favorite at a premium and losing more often than winning. It's a volume play that looks like free money until you check the PnL.
Proof: Best trade hit $704 on "Printr public sale total commitments? (2026-06-01)". Worst? A -$236 loss on "Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations? (2026-05-31)". Buy-sell ratio at 0.27 — he's a net seller of risk, which explains the low win rate.
Edge: Math over gut. He's not chasing headlines; he's farming small premiums on thousands of events. But the 16% win rate and -$2.4K PnL show this isn't alpha — it's a grind against the house.
Current: 1 open position, portfolio at $779, with $1,138 already withdrawn. Realism check: net transfers show $752 back in his pocket, so the PnL looks worse than cash out reality. Still, this is not a whale to copy.
Want to check Polymarket wallet analytics on other low-win-rate grinders? Track kosonbtc's next moves on Predicts.guru — or just avoid this strategy altogether.
diversifiedRisk: low