.ethguy
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.ethguy is a Polymarket wallet profile with $34.8K PnL, $2.7M total volume, a 100.0% win rate, and activity across 447 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader overview
One wallet that turned $321K in deposits into a brutal -80% ROI — but still carries a 100% win rate across 447 markets. That's .ethguy, the whale who proves you can be right on paper and bleeding in practice.
.ethguy is a Polymarket trader ranked #4895 with 14 total trades and $2.74M in total volume. Whale class, medium risk. His categories? Geopolitics, macro events, and long-shot peace deals — the noise-heavy corners where retail chases headlines.
Strategy? He swings big on low-probability narratives, entering early and averaging down on high-volatility event markets. His edge is conviction — he doesn't flinch when the market moves against him, he doubles down instead. The buy/sell ratio sits at 1.78, meaning he's accumulating positions far more than he's exiting.
The proof is in the split. Best trade: US x Iran permanent peace deal by...? US x Iran permanent peace deal by...? — a +$11.5K win. Worst trade: same exact market, same outcome, but a $34.8K profit on the exit timing. That's the trap: right thesis, wrong execution. {100%} win rate means he hasn't closed a single losing trade — but with an -80.54% ROI on deposits, those "wins" are smaller than the capital he's burned holding underwater positions.
What separates him from 99% of degens? He's not a bot and not a degen — he's a conviction trader with a thesis. He doesn't trade noise, he trades endings. But that conviction cuts both ways: his current open positions are bleeding, with portfolio value at $755 on $321K deposited. Looks like free money until you try to exit.
Right now, 4 open positions, 10 closed. His recent activity suggests he's still hammering long-shot geopolitics — but at -80% ROI, he's either one trade away from redemption or the next cautionary tale.
Track .ethguy's wallet with any Polymarket wallet checker like Predicts.guru to see if he flips the script or fades into the leaderboard graveyard.
whaleRisk: medium