gmpm
Loading wallet statistics...
gmpm is a Polymarket wallet profile with $3.6M PnL, $85.1M total volume, a 58.3% win rate, and activity across 845 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
gmpm made $859k on a single sports bet while sitting at #19 globally with a 4.36% ROI across 51 trades.
Name: gmpm | Rank #19 | Whale tier
Strategy: concentrated bets across 845 markets, mostly sports, playing directional conviction on single events rather than hedging portfolios.
The wallet tells a story of feast-or-famine execution. $3.6M PnL on $85.1M volume (4.36% ROI) lands solid but not exceptional for someone trading that much capital. Win rate sits at 47.6% — basically coin-flip odds — yet the profit margin suggests gmpm's edge isn't timing entries. It's position sizing. Best trade hit $859,922 on the Seahawks vs. Patriots matchup. Worst trade dropped -$80,639 on Pacers vs. Knicks. That 10.6x win-to-loss ratio is the real number here — they're not winning more often, they're winning bigger when they're right.
Medium risk profile masks an asymmetric game. Average trade size of $12,621 across 51 total trades reveals selective deployment — this isn't high-frequency scalping. The 13.3x buy-to-sell ratio signals strong conviction directionally; gmpm builds positions rather than flipping. Trading 783 different markets (mostly sports) suggests either strong domain knowledge across multiple sports or a systematic scanner picking liquid opportunities. Either way, chasing volume across categories dilutes any single edge.
Current state: one open position remains, $28.7k portfolio value, averaging 12.2 trades per day over the sample period. The gap between peak single-win ($859k) and current holdings ($28.7k) suggests either recent drawdown, withdrawal, or pure reinvestment aggression. Medium risk rating is generous given the concentration bets — this is a player comfortable holding five or six figure positions on binary outcomes, and it shows.
The skeptic's take: 58.3% win rate needs actual edge documentation. High average entry prices (0.525) imply buying consensus favorites — could be signal or could be survivorship bias showing only the profitable favorites.
whaleRisk: medium