aylarobles
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aylarobles is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$112 PnL, $15.8K total volume, a 60.0% win rate, and activity across 44 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader overview
aylarobles deposited $1,249 — and managed to turn that into a -$112.2 PnL across 44 markets. That’s a 60% win rate on paper, but the math says: you're still down 20.68% on deposits. Not a whale, not a bot — just a diversified trader who’s learning the hard way that winning 6 out of 10 bets doesn’t mean you’re printing.
aylarobles Polymarket trader sits ranked #2,580,168 with typical "diversified" spreads. One look at his wallet: small deposits, slow cadence (0.1 trades/day), medium risk. Categories bounce from NFL spots (Chargers vs. Texans) to Champions League futures (Champions League Winner (2025-05-25)). No edge niche yet.
Strategy? He spreads small bets across 44 random events — sports, politics, futures. The edge hack is non-existent. His avg entry sits at $0.58/share, avg trade $145. Buy/sell ratio 1.68 — meaning he buys more than he sells. That’s diamond-handing into a -20.68% ROI on deposits. That’s not a strategy; that’s gambling with extra steps.
Proof: Best trade was Chargers vs. Texans at +$149.66. Worst was Champions League at -$0.015. Max win $149 — max loss pocket change. That screams "took one shot that hit, then bled the rest in tiny cuts." 10 closed positions, 6 wins, but total PnL still red. Classic "good hit rate, bad sizing."
What separates him? Nothing. That’s the honest read. No bot, no niche dominance, no discipline. He’s the average degen: 60% win rate hiding a negative PnL because winners are small, losers are frequent. Not everyone survives the drawdown.
Currently — no open positions. Sitting on $258 net transfers in. Withdrew $991 — probably pulling before tilt hits harder. Could bounce back. Could also keep grinding small edges into the red. Realism: this wallet is not alpha.
Check aylarobles on Predicts.guru to see where his next small-bet trap lands — or check other Polymarket traders who actually know their edge. This one’s a cautionary tale, not a copy.
diversifiedRisk: medium