andreleroy
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andreleroy is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$194 PnL, $57.4K total volume, a 76.4% win rate, and activity across 124 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader overview
andreleroy (0x7826f31d035ec0ba158f79e1249ffd2bcd3a20b1) is a Polymarket trader who wins 76% of his bets and still sits at -$193.5 — a number that should make every "win rate = skill" believer sit down.
Open the wallet. Rank 2,766,712 on the Polymarket leaderboard, 124 markets traded, 105 closed positions, zero open, $57.4K in volume. Deposited $454.80, withdrew $454.43. Net transfers: thirty-seven cents. Name's andreleroy. Bio's empty. Wallet's loud.
The strategy is diversified bookkeeping, not conviction. He buys at an average entry of $0.39 and holds a 3.6:1 buy-to-sell ratio across 105 trades, roughly 0.6 per day — bot-paced, not screen-staring. Win rate 76.4% sounds like free money until you try to exit. Average trade size around $103, which means the loser column stays quiet and the winner column carries all the weight. Will Diplo run the 5k in under 21 minutes? paid him $807.45. His worst hit, Will Costa Rica win on 2025-09-09?, cost $40. Same ratio again: small pain, fat tail.
That's the edge and the trap in one line. He refuses the -$40 bleed, which is why the 76% holds — and why the account still can't print. The best trade wasn't a market call, it was a novelty prop most degens skip because the order book looks thin. Looks like free money until you try to exit.
Now: no open positions. Flattened, cashed out near deposit, net roughly flat after 124 markets. Is he done or waiting for the next weird prop? Anyone running Polymarket wallet analytics gets a clean control case here — high win rate, negative PnL, medium risk, real deposits. Check Polymarket wallet 0x7826f31d035ec0ba158f79e1249ffd2bcd3a20b1 on Predicts.guru and see what the PnL curve hides behind the hit rate. Then go compare it to the top Polymarket traders who actually cash out.
diversifiedRisk: medium