0x1238261b7d0a5f6318a712f63b52718151d932ce
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0x1238261b7d0a5f6318a712f63b52718151d932ce is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$1 PnL, $32 total volume, a 89.0% win rate, and activity across 112 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader overview
Opened the wallet expecting an insider, saw cash751111 (0x3ee107771326b1e408cd79dbaac9a84abfa7a5ef) Polymarket trader hit an 89% win rate across 112 markets and still ended up net negative — because one bad hockey bet ate eleven perfect soccer calls.
Identity: cash751111 runs a low-risk, conservative book ranked #2,736,160 on the Polymarket leaderboard. Sports props are clearly the meat — exact scores, moneylines — with football and hockey doing most of the work. Bio empty, wallet busy. Classic.
The edge hack is boring on purpose: buy heavy favorites around 0.90, stack small, let the 88% hit rate do the compounding. Reads like free money until you realize the payout on a 0.90 entry is pennies against a full-stake loss. He's not collecting noise or panic arbitrage — he's farming chalk. Retail chases headlines, he farms the -900.
The proof is in the asymmetry. Best trade: Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina? for +106.33. Worst trade: Capitals vs. Jets for -202.40. One hockey game undid two soccer wins. -$0.5 on $32.2 volume, average trade size $59, average entry 0.898, buy/sell ratio 7.75 — a pure buy-and-hold grinder across 166 positions, 0.2 trades per day. Deposited ~$2,975, withdrew ~$2,892, sitting on a $361 portfolio. Money went in, mostly came back out.
The real separator? Discipline over dopamine. Ninety percent win rate is a vanity metric if your one loser is double your best winner — and cash751111 proves it. A serious prediction market analytics read on this wallet (check Polymarket wallet analytics before copying anything) says the same thing: correct direction, wrong payoffs.
Now: 4 open positions, one hockey scar still healing. This is the profile everyone screenshots as "89% win rate" without checking the PnL column. Track it on Predicts.guru alongside other top Polymarket traders — or just learn the lesson for free: win rate without edge math is a trap.
conservativeRisk: low